Not VC
Venture capital needs hyper-growth, huge markets, and a path to 10x or more in seven to ten years.
Why we exist
Deep tech companies with validated technology and real customers stall on the way to market: too late for grants, too early for bank debt, and not a fit for venture capital's power-law timelines.
Venture capital needs hyper-growth, huge markets, and a path to 10x or more in seven to ten years.
Bank debt requires revenue history, a credit track record, and hard collateral.
Grants retire technology risk, but they don't fund sales, operations, or working capital.
A question of fit
Venture capital is very good at what it is built to do. Its returns follow a power law: a small number of investments must return an entire fund, because most will return nothing at all.
It also selects for a particular shape. To fit, a company needs a market measured in the tens of billions, a credible path to a ten-times return inside a fund's 7-10 year life.
Many of the companies we meet are strong by every operating measure. The customers are real and already buying. They serve markets that matter — the infrastructure, materials, and systems the economy actually runs on. What these companies need is the capital to fulfill the demand already in front of them.
This is not a judgment on either side. It is a mismatch between an instrument and a category. These companies need something else.
Who gets stranded
Technology that competitors cannot easily replicate or substitute.
Gross margins of 50% or more, sustained by real advantage.
Clear product-market fit, evidenced by customers already buying.
The journey
Research
Spinout
Prototype
Customer-Ready Prototype
Paid Pilot
First PO
Commercial Revenue
The gap
Between a paid pilot and commercial revenue.